SinoGreenTech Academic Portal
Official PDF TranslationActa Energiae Solaris Sinica

Long-Time-Scale Photovoltaic Output Scenario Generation Method Based on Improved Transformer-CGAN

Authors: YE Yujiang; XUAN Shunde; SHI Ruifeng; JIA Limin

DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.202608_9675Status: Verified Translated Edition
Sponsored AdvertisementAd Placement Area
reCAPTCHA Bot Shield Active

Preparing Secure Academic Download

Verifying human reader & generating high-resolution document...

Verifying Document Integrity15s remaining
← Back to Article
Protected by Google reCAPTCHA v3.PrivacyTerms
Sponsored ContentAdSense In-Feed Ad Slot

Key Findings in This Report

• • The proposed T-CGAN achieves superior performance in generating 8760-hour annual PV output scenarios, overcoming the gradient vanishing and mode collapse issues that plague LSTM-GAN and SeqGAN when directly trained on long sequences; this enables reliable long-term power system planning and annual operational scheduling without the boundary feature loss and cross-month correlation degradation inherent in short-sequence stitching approaches. • • The multi-scale periodic attention mechanism, incorporating a learnable periodic bias matrix P[i,j] = cos(2π|i-j|/T) with adjustable strength parameter β, effectively captures both diurnal (short-term) and seasonal (long-term) periodic patterns in PV output; this is critical for accurately representing the deterministic periodic components that dominate PV generation variability across annual cycles. • • The Wasserstein distance with gradient penalty as the adversarial loss function ensures stable training convergence and mitigates mode collapse, a common failure mode in standard GAN training for time-series generation; this stability is essential for industrial deployment where model retraining and reproducibility are required. • • Comparative experiments against three typical models (WGAN-GP, LSTM-GAN, and SeqGAN) demonstrate the proposed method's superiority across statistical metrics, temporal correlation, and scenario validity, confirming that Transformer-based architectures with periodic attention are better suited for long-duration renewable energy scenario generation than recurrent or convolutional alternatives.